Studies: New Studies Make Clear Why Virginia Can – and Should – Switch As Quickly as Possible to Energy Efficiency, Solar, Offshore Wind

Blue Virginia discusses why Virginia Can – and Should – Switch As Quickly as Possible to Energy Efficiency, Solar, Offshore Wind. With the climate crisis raging, it’s indisputable that we need to go all-in on clean energy (wind, solar, energy efficienty) and ditch fossil fuels ASAP on environmental grounds alone. But increasingly, in recent years, the economic rationale for a transition to a clean energy economy has become overwhelming – even *without* accounting for the massive, negative environmental and health “externalities” of fossil fuels. The latest evidence?

  • First, see Efficiency significantly cheaper than natural gas, DOE study concludes, which finds: “Natural gas energy efficiency programs run by utilities saved energy at a cost of about $0.40/therm from 2012 to 2017 — less than half of the national average retail price of gas during that periodaccording to new research from the U.S. Department of Energy’s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.” So basically, it makes Z-E-R-O sense for Dominion to build new natural gas infrastructure – pipelines, power plants, whatever. And they simply shouldn’t be allowed to do so. At the bare minimum, it’s time for some serious “decoupling” of Dominion’s revenues from simply building and producing more…er, “stuff.”
  • Second, check out today’s article in Utility Dive, As utility solar costs drop 82%, US renewable leaders target majority generation share by 2030, which finds: “The cost for utility-scale solar PV power has declined 82% since 2010 and the costs for onshore and offshore wind have declined 39% and 29%, respectively, according to a report released Tuesday by the International Renewable Energy Agency.”
  • On a related note, as the article reports, clean energy industry leaders are laying out a vision for 2030, in which “solar energy would account for 20% of power generation…wind would provide another 20%, hydroelectric would account for another 9%, and the remaining 2% would come from other renewable energy resources,” and “[e]nergy storage — battery, hydro, mechanical and thermal — would provide the flexibility and reliability needed for renewables to become major players in the power sector.”
  • Finally, see below for highlights from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) study, which finds that “new renewable power generation projects now increasingly undercut existing coal-fired plants“; that “[n]ext year, up to 1 200 gigawatts (GW) of existing coal capacity could cost more to operate than the cost of new utility-scale solar PV, the report shows”; and that: “Replacing the costliest 500 GW of coal with solar PV and onshore wind next year would cut power system costs by up to USD 23 billion every year and reduce annual emissions by around 1.8 gigatons (Gt) of carbon dioxide (CO2), equivalent to 5% of total global CO2 emissions in 2019. It would also yield an investment stimulus of USD 940 billion, which is equal to around 1% of global GDP.” Wow!!!

Reduced Demand for Electricity Leads to Power Giveaways

The New York Times discusses how Reduced Demand for Electricity Leads to Power Giveaways. The pandemic is turning energy markets upside-down. Some consumers will get paid for using electricity.

The coronavirus pandemic has played havoc with energy markets. Last month, the price of benchmark American crude oil fell below zero as the economy shut down and demand plunged.

And now a British utility this weekend will actually pay some of its residential consumers to use electricity — to plug in the appliances, and run them full blast.

So-called negative electricity prices usually show up in wholesale power markets, when a big electricity user like a factory or a water treatment plant is paid to consume more power. Having too much power on the line could lead to damaged equipment or even blackouts.

Report: How lockdowns boost renewables and harm coal

E&E News discusses how lockdowns boost renewables and harm coal.

As coronavirus lockdowns encircled the globe from January to March, stifling economic activity, something surprising happened on the electric grid. Renewable energy had the romp of its short life, while coal withered.

The two trajectories — stunning in their speed and scope, especially in parts of the United States — happened because demand for electricity suddenly evaporated.

As the world wonders how long it will take the economy to recover, the renewables-and-coal phenomenon poses other questions. A long or short recession equals a long or short trough in electricity demand. What energy sources will emerge either healthy or sick? How will the coronavirus crucible change electricity’s carbon emissions?

And what exactly changed when COVID-19 swept the world?

An International Energy Agency report from late April documented the change. In the first quarter of 2020, as China endured its lockdown to stem the spread of the coronavirus and similar efforts started in Europe and the United States, electricity demand around the globe dropped by a historic 2.6%.

Report: America’s renewable energy sources have produced more electricity that coal every day for 40 days straight

Newsweek discusses how America’s renewable energy sources have produced more electricity that coal every day for 40 days straight.

enewable sources including solar, wind and hydropower generated more electricity than coal-based plants every single day in April, a new report says.

Analysis shared by the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEFA), based on data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), said the finding marks a major “milestone” in an energy transition that is now underway.

The move away from coal for electricity generation in the U.S. accelerated in 2020 due to lower gas prices, warmer weather and a “significant amount” of new renewable capacity being connected to the grid late last year, the report suggested.

It acknowledged that lower power demands resulting from economic slowdown sparked by the COVID-19 pandemic has also played a role in coal’s decline.

To Cut Carbon Emissions, a Movement Grows to ‘Electrify Everything’

Yale Environment 360 discusses how, to cut carbon emissions, a Movement Grows to ‘Electrify Everything’. In an effort to move away from fossil fuels, U.S. communities from California to Massachusetts are instituting bans on natural gas in new construction. Proponents say the measures are critical for speeding the transition to an all-electric future powered by renewable energy.

On March 24, just before the city council of Santa Cruz, California passed an emergency measure to prevent evictions of renters suffering from lost income during the coronavirus pandemic, it adopted another new ordinance: effective July 1, all construction permit applications for new buildings in the city must submit a declaration that their design is “Natural Gas-Free.”

With that vote, Santa Cruz became the 30th city or county in California to enact a measure limiting or prohibiting the use of natural gas in new construction. It was just the latest in a string of victories for the “electrify everything” movement, which is pushing for a rapid transition away from burning natural gas and other fossil fuels in buildings.

Study: For big emissions reductions, we need to think small

Environmental Health News discusses how we need to think small for big emissions reductions,. “Big new infrastructure costing billions is not the best way to accelerate decarbonization”.

Small-scale clean energy and low carbon technologies—such as solar panels, smart appliances and electric bicycles—are more likely to push society toward meeting climate goals than large-scale technologies, according to a new study from a team of international researchers.

The findings, published today in Science, suggest governments and investors around the world should prioritize small-scale, low carbon technologies in policy design and research development in order to reduce emissions responsible for climate change in a more efficient and just way.

Researchers claim solar efficiency breakthrough for flexible ‘skin’

The Guardian discusses a breakthrough in solar electricity generation. Engineers at the University of Queensland say technology could be used to power small devices, such as a phone, within two years.

A flexible solar “skin” that could be used to generate power on homes, cars and phones is a step closer to development after the technology was used to break a world record for electricity conversion, researchers say.

Engineers at the University of Queensland have been working with nanoparticles known as quantum dots that pass electrons and generate an electrical current when exposed to solar energy.

The dots can be printed on flexible sheets that have the potential to be used as a transparent skin to power devices including mobile phones and electric vehicles, and applied to windows and other surfaces.

How extreme weather can disrupt energy supply

Cosmos Magazine discusses how extreme weather can disrupt energy supply. We need more storage and grid improvements scientists – and modelling – say.

Future climate variation could produce a gap of up to 34% between renewable energy potential and demand without concerted efforts to improve energy storage options, according to new research.

At the same time, extreme weather events could reduce the reliability of power supplies by up to 16%, resulting in blackouts and power losses with major economic ramifications.

“As a result, we will require more investment into energy storage and grid improvements beyond the present situation,” says Dasun Perera, from the École Polytechnique Fédérale de Launsanne in Switzerland.

The findings come from applying a model Perera developed with colleagues from Sweden and the US to 30 cities in Sweden.

Clean energy technologies threaten to overwhelm the grid. Here’s how it can adapt.

This Vox article discusses how clean energy technologies threaten to overwhelm the grid. Here’s how it can adapt. The centralized, top-down power grid is outdated. Time for a bottom-up redesign.

The US power grid is, by some estimates, the largest machine in the world, a continent-spanning wonder of the modern age. And despite its occasional well-publicized failures, it is remarkably reliable, delivering energy to almost every American, almost every second of every day.

This is an especially remarkable accomplishment given that, until very recently, almost none of that power could be stored. It all has to be generated, sent over miles of wires, and delivered to end users at the exact second they need it, in a perfectly synchronized dance.

Given the millions of Americans, their billions of electrical devices, and the thousands of miles of electrical wires involved, well, it’s downright amazing.

Still, as you may have heard, the grid is stressed out. Blackouts due to extreme weather (hurricanes, floods, wildfires) are on the rise, in part due to climate change, which is only going to get worse. The need for local resilience in the face of climate chaos is growing all the time.

Report: Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy (“LCOE”) analysis

This Lazard report discusses Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy (“LCOE”) analysis, addressing:

  • Comparative LCOE analysis for various generation technologies on a $/MWh basis, including sensitivities for U.S. federal tax subsidies, fuel prices and costs of capital
  • Illustration of how the LCOE of onshore wind and utility-scale solar compare to the marginal cost of selected conventional generation technologies
  • Historical LCOE comparison of various utility-scale generation technologies
  • Illustration of the historical LCOE declines for wind and utility-scale solar technologies
  • Illustration of how the LCOEs of utility-scale solar and wind compare to those of gas peaking and combined cycle
  • Comparison of capital costs on a $/kW basis for various generation technologies
  • Deconstruction of the LCOE for various generation technologies by capital cost, fixed operations and maintenance expense, variable operations and maintenance expense and fuel cost
  • Overview of the methodology utilized to prepare Lazard’s LCOE analysis
  • Considerations regarding the operating characteristics and applications of various generation technologies
  • An illustrative comparison of the value of carbon abatement of various renewable energy technologies
  • Summary of assumptions utilized in Lazard’s LCOE analysis
  • Summary considerations in respect of Lazard’s approach to evaluating the LCOE of various conventional and renewable energy technologies