The Barents Observer: Russian researchers: Average Arctic temperature could increase 20°С by century’s end. A group of Russian climate researchers outline a further multi-degree warming of the Arctic.
According to the Russian Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematic, climate gas emissions are leading to a continued rapid temperature increase in the northernmost part of the planet.
By the end of the century, average temperatures in the central parts of the Arctic could be 20 °С higher than what is considered normal for the region.
The scenario is based on a continued major emission of climate gases, Senior Researcher Yevgeny Volodin told to TASS.
However, also with a significant cut in emissions, temperatures in the region will continue to increase, Volodin explains.
“Even in a situation where the world community by 2050 reaches a zero-emission target for climate gases into the atmosphere, the Arctic will in any case be 2-3 degrees higher than today because of the inertia of the climate system,” the researcher says.